Winter outlook: Warm south; cooler north; murky in middle

Halpert said the Califonia's winter looks to come up dry, especially in south

This map provided by NOAA shows the winter temperature outlook for the U.S. Federal forecasters say thanks to a nascent La Nina it is likely to be warmer and drier than normal down south, colder and wetter up north and in the middle it’s hard to say what’s going to happen, sort of meh.
And it doesn’t look good for drought-hit California. (NOAA via AP)
This map provided by NOAA shows the winter temperature outlook for the U.S. Federal forecasters say thanks to a nascent La Nina it is likely to be warmer and drier than normal down south, colder and wetter up north and in the middle it’s hard to say what’s going to happen, sort of meh. And it doesn’t look good for drought-hit California. (NOAA via AP)

WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal forecasters predict this winter may paint the U.S. in stripes of different weather: Warmer and drier than normal in the south, and colder and wetter than usual in the far north.

The National Weather Service winter outlook, issued Thursday, gets murky in the nation’s middle belt, with no particular expectation for trends in temperature or precipitation.

This map provided by NOAA shows the winter precipitation outlook for the U.S. Federal forecasters say thanks to a nascent La Nina it is likely to be warmer and drier than normal down south, colder and wetter up north and in the middle it’s hard to say what’s going to happen, sort of meh. And it doesn’t look good for drought-hit California. (NOAA via AP)
This map provided by NOAA shows the winter precipitation outlook for the U.S. Federal forecasters say thanks to a nascent La Nina it is likely to be warmer and drier than normal down south, colder and wetter up north and in the middle it’s hard to say what’s going to happen, sort of meh.
And it doesn’t look good for drought-hit California. (NOAA via AP)

Still, some nasty storms might make the winter there memorable, said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the weather service’s Climate Prediction Center.

The major driver of the winter forecast is a budding La Nina, a cooling of the central Pacific that warps weather worldwide and is the flip side of the better-known El Nino, Halpert said.

For the South and California, “the big story is likely to be drought,” Halpert said.

And that’s not good news for California, which is in year five of its drought. The winter is the state’s crucial wet season when snow and rain gets stored up for the rest of year. Halpert said the state’s winter looks to come up dry, especially in Southern California.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac releases 2016-2017 winter outlook

“It’s probably going to take a couple of wet winters in a row to put a big dent into this drought now,” said weather service drought expert David Miskus. He said it will take “many, many years and it’s got to be above normal precipitation.”

The northern cold band that the weather service predicts is mostly from Montana to Michigan. Maine is the exception, with unusually warm weather expected.

More Information:
Local Forecast Severe WX Text Alerts
Temperatures Severe WX Email Alerts
Weather News WWLP 22News WX App
Interactive Radar Live Area Webcams

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Follow Seth Borenstein at http://twitter.com/borenbears and his work can be found athttp://bigstory.ap.org/content/seth-borenstein

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Copyright 2016 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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