CHICOPEE, Mass. (WWLP) – Recent polls have been showing the presidential race tightening in the past week, but it may not come as much of a surprise to many that the race in Massachusetts is not that close.
A new 50-state poll by The Washington Post and SurveyMonkey shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with a 23-point lead over Republican Donald Trump among Massachusetts voters in a head-to-head matchup. With Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein included, Clinton’s support level dips below 50%, but she still maintains a 19-point advantage over Trump. Johnson draws the support of 11% of voters, with 5% for Stein, who is a Lexington native.
Massachusetts has generally been among the deepest of “blue” states in the past several decades, producing Democratic standard-bearers John F. Kennedy, Michael Dukakis, and John Kerry. Massachusetts was famously the only state to go to Democrat George McGovern in 1972. The state turned “red” briefly in the 1980s as Ronald Reagan carried it in 1980 and 1984, but no Republican has won here since, including former Governor Mitt Romney, who lost the state to President Barack Obama by a large margin in 2012.
Neighboring Connecticut has been a somewhat lighter shade of blue, but it has not gone to the Republican candidate since George H.W. Bush in 1988. Under the Washington Post-Survey Monkey Poll, Clinton leads Trump there by 12 points in a head-to-head matchup. With Johnson and Stein in the mix, the margin stays essentially unchanged, at an 11-point advantage. Johnson draws 12% support, with Stein at 5%.
Clinton, indeed leads Trump in all six New England states, with large leads in Rhode Island and Vermont as well. The race is closer, however, in New Hampshire and Maine, where Clinton’s lead over Trump shrinks to 3 points when Johnson and Stein are included.
The poll also found that this unconventional race may be giving both candidates a chance in states where their parties have traditionally fared poorly. The poll shows Trump leading in Iowa and virtually tied with Clinton in Wisconsin and Michigan- states that have traditionally voted Democratic, but have large populations of white, blue collar workers; a group that has provided a key base of support for Trump. Clinton, meanwhile is polling very well in Texas and Arizona, traditional “red” states which have large populations of Latino voters and college-educated whites; groups with which Trump does not poll well.
The poll was conducted August 9 through September 1 among registered voters in all 50 states.