CHICOPEE Mass. (WWLP) – It is a busy Thanksgiving weekend at the box office as Hunger Games: The Mockingjay Part 2 will try to win back to back weekends. Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, Friday typically acts more like a Saturday and the Weekend tends to be very front loaded.
Mockingjay Part 2 was able to recover slightly from its smaller than expected opening with a $21.2 million take on Friday. If it continues to hold similarly to the previous two installments then Part 2 will finish with $51 million for the weekend which will be just shy of the $200 million mark in total.
Mockingjay still has a shot at $300 million, but it will be a struggle. It will fail to reach the top 5 for the year, but will still make the top 10. Its will most likely end up in 7th right behind Minions and in front of The Martian.
The Good Dinosaur appears to be our latest under-performer. The Good Dinosaur will join Inside Out as the only two movies released by Pixar not to open in first place. Inside Out was facing the Second weekend of Jurassic World however, which was bigger than the first weekend for Mockingjay. The Good Dinosaur’s opening might be the smallest for Pixar since a Bug’s Life was released in 1998.
The Good Dinosaur placed second on Friday with $15.6 million. This amount is lower than Tangled, Frozen, and Toy Story 2, all of which opened on the same Thanksgiving weekend in their respective years. Playing out the weekend similar to those movies would result in a finish around $38 million. I think the Pixar brand might be able to push it to $40 million, but either way this is lower than expected.
The biggest winner this weekend is the return of Rocky Balboa in the critically acclaimed Creed. The well-received movie made $6 million on Wednesday, than rose on Thursday to $6.4 million before making $11.7 million on Friday.
Creed should be able to make $28 million for the weekend. With strong word of mouth, it could push itself past $30 million for the weekend, and $42 million total since it opened on Wednesday. That would be enough for it to top Rocky V’s lifetime gross.
Spectre rose 23% from last Friday to $5.2 million. This was just enough for it to pass both Casino Royale and Quantum of Solace’s lifetime grosses. At $168.5 million total, it looks like Spectre will be able to push itself across the $200 million threshold before it exits theaters. A $13 million finish this weekend would push its total so far to $176 million.
The Peanuts Movie enjoyed a nice bump as well on Friday making $4 million. Charlie Brown and the gang seem unfazed by the arrival of The Good Dinosaur, and should finish the weekend with approximately $11.5 million. A $150 million finish is still a possibility for Peanuts.
The Night Before dropped 9% from last Friday to $3.2 million. A 30% drop from last weekend to about $7 million will keep it in sixth place for the weekend.
Once again this weekend, we have 3 movies within $250K of each other on Friday. The Secret in Their Eyes, Spotlight, and Brooklyn made between $1.68 million and $1.43 million. Spotlight will most likely place 7th with around $4.5 million. Secret will place 8th with $4 million, followed by Brooklyn with $3.5 million. With how close these movies are, however, they could flip flop places.
Rounding out the top ten with what should be its last appearance was The Martian. Martian continually finds a way to make it in to the top ten. Martian has not been out of the top ten since it opened back in October. Martian should make around $3.2 million and might even be able to jump into 9th place for the weekend if one of the movies above it does not perform to well.
Next week’s release: Krampus
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